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Killer Tips - Caulfield Cup Day

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Welcome back again to another edition of Killer Tips for the Caulfield Cup!
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Welcome back again to another edition of Killer Tips!

Another handy day on the tips last week with a couple of $5 winners early in the program, before mine and Snowy's best bet in The Autumn Sun got the chocolates in style. He was awesome! 

Another cracking program awaits at Caulfield this Saturday. The Cup appears to be owned by International runners, with a few local hopes at odds trying to keep the Cup downunder. A massive support program with fantastic 2000m races for the fillies and the colts. The rail goes out 6 metres for the final day of Caulfield's carnival. This was the same movement last year, when the first five races were dominated by on-pace runners, so that has definitely been factored into my analysis. 

WATCH the video below for all the inside info! Snowy going for 6 best bets out of 6! 
 

Click below to watch
 
 

Contact me at sam@firstlightracing.com.au for the best deals for all new NEDS betting accounts. New sign on bonuses only available to First Light Racing and Killer Tips followers. Email me now! 

Awesome new features on the NEDS app are live now, so no better time to join! Bet with the JUMPOFF, BACKUP, FLUC UP, PRICE BOOST and FAT ODDS are just a few features that will make Neds the best bet this carnival!

Also, download the Australian Venue Company app, voucher code FIRSTLIGHT for special deals for all the Killer Tips followers. The first pint is on them!

Happy punting!

Killer

 

FOR OTHER TIPS & INSIDE INFO (SEE VIDEO!!!)

Turnbull Stakes Day


Killer's Best Bets

KILLER'S BEST BET:

Race 1 no.9 DELUSIONS

KILLER'S BEST EACH WAY: 
Race 7 no.5 SIR CHARLES ROAD

KILLER'S BEST ROUGHIE: 
Race 8 no.9 RED VERNON

KILLER'S WHALE OF THE BAY
Race 10 no.6 DREAMFORCE

 

Snowy's Best Bets

SNOWY'S BEST BET:
Race 6 no.3 EXTRA BRUT

SNOWY'S BEST EACH WAY: 
Race 7 no.3 TRAP FOR FOOLS

SNOWY'S BEST ROUGHIE: 
Race 5 no.8 YULONG METEOR

SNOWY'S WHALE OF THE BAY
Race 2 no.4 RANIER


 
Race 1

9 (DELUSIONS) - 1 (KHULAASA) - 8 (ZARGOS) - 2 (ZIZZIS) 

KILLER TIPS: I think I'm going to start the day with a bang and back DELUSIONS. 3yo filly on the minimum weight and couldn't have been more impressive at Swan Hill. Got a few knocks on the others, so this filly might just be too good! KHULAASA has to lead to be able to win, hopefully they do that, and if so, will definitely be in the finish. ZARGOS is a winner, ZIZZIS next best. Gets weak quick. 

SUGGESTED BET: DELUSIONS to win, get the day off to a flyer! 


 
Race 2

4 (RANIER) - 3 (YULONG JANUARY) - 6 RINGERDINGDING) - 1 (WILD PLANET) 

KILLER TIPS: The name RANIER makes me shudder, after it was my best bet two weeks ago when it was the moral beat of the carnival. Not going silly on it Saturday, even though it should win. However, with the rail out 6 metres, it will advantage front runner and the biggest danger will be the likely leader, YULONG JANUARY. From gate 3 RANIER will have to sit behind leaders to win, and it has been ridden this forward before. Best quinella of the day these two. 

SUGGESTED BET: Big quinella 4 & 3. Back RANIER if you are not too wounded form last time.

 
Race 3

6 (EDUARDO) - 4 (SPENDING TO WIN) - 8 (MISS LEONIDAS) - 5 (SUPER TOO) 

KILLER TIPS: Great to see a good jockey & good bloke Brian Park with a very live chance in town on a big day in EDUARDO. Horse is a jet plane. From gate 8 of 9, he is going to have to deliver a 10/10 ride, nothing short. There is heaps of speed inside him but horse doesn't know how to give up. SPENDING TO WIN had the drop on him last time, and may do the same again. MISS LEONIDAS will be there for a long way, and if SUPER TOO is on song and rail is dynamite, he might be there at the end. 

SUGGESTED BET: Tough speed map race, so going to sit out. Like EDUARDO, but rock bottom odds at $3.30, hoping he gets out before I back him.

 
Race 4

4 (GREY SHADOW) - 8 (FROM WITHIN) - 6 (NIETA) - 10 (ACQUME) 

KILLER TIPS: Tricky race here with plenty of different form lines to tie in. Went with GREY SHADOW who draws the pole and can sit just behind the speed. She's 2 from 3 at the track and unbeaten at the distance. Yendall just needs to get clear at the right time. FROM WITHIN has been winning races with ease, in lower QLD company, but looks the likely leader and will give them something to catch. NIETA way down in grade, and at its best wins easy. Is she the same horse? At $14, happy to have a nibble she is. ACQUME second to She Will Reign first up last time. May have missed the winner. 

SUGGESTED BET: Back GREY SHADOW each way, with a small saver at odds on NIETA.
 

Race 5

6 (VERRY ELLEEGANT) - 3 (ARISTIA) - 2 (GREYSFUL GLAMOUR) - 8 (YULONG METEOR) 

KILLER TIPS: Good race! The fillies are very good this season and this is a cracking race. VERRY ELLEEGANT was close to the best bet of the day after her brilliant run first up in Oz. She was luckless but charged late. She is Weiry's genuine Oaks filly and drawn to possie up not far away. ARISTIA was luckless too in the same race. However, ARISTIA is still trying to get out. What she would have done when she got out we don't know, so she goes to Caulfield as a horse who could easily beat these, but didn't savage the line like VERRY ELLEEGANT, hence the second tip. GREYSFUL GLAMOUR was impressive on the speed last time, and will try and repeat. YULONG METEOR flew from last that day. Prefer her in the Oaks back at Flemington, but can run into a place. 

SUGGESTED BET: Back VERRY ELLEEGANT (if not too short) and ARISTIA both to win. The Manifold is the form race for this. 
 

Race 6

1 (THINKIN' BIG) - 6 (DEALMAKER) - 3 (EXTRA BRUT) - 10 (SIKORSKY) 

KILLER TIPS: Everything went wrong for THINKIN' BIG last time; kicked a shoe off, was unsettled, had to work early & midrace, faced the breeze, but kept kicking at the end. Gai makes them tough, and he will be tough again Saturday. Big watch DEALMAKER; watch its replay, was super behind THINKIN' BIG last time, and will finish a lot closer today, just needs to use the gate. EXTRA BRUT has done nothing wrong, i just prefer the Spring Champion form, and SIKORSKY another on pace type that is thereabouts. 

SUGGESTED BET: Back THINKIN' BIG and DEALMAKER both to win. Going to risk EXTRA BRUT, may have egg on my face especially with Snowy going for 7 in a row! 
 

Race 7

5 (SIR CHARLES ROAD) - 7 (BEST OF DAYS) - 3 (TRAP FOR FOOLS) - 4 (LIFE LESS ORDINARY) 

KILLER TIPS: Loved the run of SIR CHARLES ROAD last time. He motored home from a similar spot to Night's Watch in the Naturalism. That is super form for a Coongy. Granted he is a stayer and may be looking for further, but his turn of foot last time suggests he can be sharp enough to possie forward from gate 4 and win. Like him each way at $9.50+. BETS OF DAYS the danger. Chased down Furrion last time, hot form that is. TRAP FOR FOOLS can win if leads easily and LIFE LESS ORDINARY is fit and ready for 2000m now.

SUGGESTED BET: SIR CHARLES ROAD each way all day, maybe even a 1 x 2 job, with a win saver on BEST OF DAYS 
 

Race 8

2 (THE CLIFFSOFMOHER) - 9 (RED VERNON) - 14 (KINGS WILL DREAM) - 18 (YOUNGSTAR) 

KILLER TIPS: What a fantastic Caulfield Cup! A few Aussies take on the world. Often an advantage to have an Australian run under your belt and for that reason I am going with THE CLIFFSOFMOHER on top. Huge last week, quick back up, good draw, Bowman on. Stable like him, and so do I. Going with a roughie next in RED VERNON who beat the top pick home in the Hardwicke, one of my favourite English races. Awesome 2400m record and my mate Zac climbs aboard. KINGS WILLS DREAM best of the "locals", drawn & weighted to win. YOUNGSTAR super last time and also weighted to win. 

SUGGESTED BET: I am definitely backing RED VERNON at odds each way, and most likely THE CLIFFSOFMOHER. Hopefully I have picked the right form line. 

 
Race 9

11 (SAVATIANO) - 3 (INVINCIBELLA) - 8 (BELLA MARTINI) - 4 (INVINCIBLE GEM) 

KILLER TIPS: If SAVATIANO drew a gate, it was a moral! 14 of 14 hurts, but going to stick my faith in Kerrin McEvoy, a jockey who has traditionally failed me. With luck she wins; ride her cold and circle them, if run on is suiting. INVINCIBELLA draws to win, will get soft run, was awesome last time and cannot fault her. BELLA MARTINI also needs luck from the gate, but at $16 is the forgotten horse. INVINCIBLE GEM with J-Mac can round out a super Caulfield carnival for him. Good draw for her, and brings form from better races. Mares seem to take their turns in these types, so may have missed the winner. Wide quaddie leg.

SUGGESTED BET: If you are forgiving of bad gates (I'm usually not), then stick with SAVATIANO each way. $4.80 now, but may drift 


Race 10

5 (PEACEFUL STATE) - 8 (MR SNEAKY) - 1 (CRACK ME UP) - 7 (TOM MELBOURNE) 

KILLER TIPS: PEACEFUL STATE would have slept well last time out. He was terribly wide in the Rupert Clarke, but sufficient speed in this suggests he will find a better spot. Biggest danger MR SNEAKY. Just think the barrier will suit PEACEFUL STATE as he might be in front of, or keeping wide, MR SNEAKY. He ran well last time from last, but weaved a passage through. Clear top two. CRACK ME UP and TOM MELBOURNE thereabouts. 

SUGGESTED BET: Win more, or blast out on PEACEFUL STATE. Sneaky saver on MR SNEAKY if you have to. 


Happy Punting - Sam "Killer" Kilkenny
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