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Killer Tips - Turnbull Stakes Day

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Welcome back again to another edition of Killer Tips for the Turnbull Stakes!
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Welcome back again to another edition of Killer Tips!

A good day on the tips last week from both Snowy and I. Snowy’s best bet double saluted and I chimed in with 4 of the 9 winners. Don’t forget to Watch the video with a few extra winners being tipped at other venues last week too! Raining opportunities, so tune in! 

A huge day awaits at Flemington this Saturday with forecast of fine and 23; only the best for the arrival of Winx, as she looks to go back to back in the Turnbull, at funnily enough only second ever run at Fabulous Flemington. A cracking undercard with plenty of good betting hopes.

WATCH the video below for all the inside info!

 

Click below to watch
 
 

Contact me at sam@firstlightracing.com.au for the best deals for all new NEDS betting accounts. New sign on bonuses only available to First Light Racing and Killer Tips followers. 

Awesome new features on the NEDS app are live now, so no better time to join! Bet with the JUMPOFF, BACKUP, FLUC UP, PRICE BOOST and FAT ODDS are just a few features that will make Neds the best bet this carnival!

Also, download the Australian Venue Company app, voucher code FIRSTLIGHT for special deals for all the Killer Tips followers. The first pint is on them!

Happy punting!

Killer

 

FOR OTHER TIPS & INSIDE INFO (SEE VIDEO!!!)

Turnbull Stakes Day


Killer's Best Bets

KILLER'S BEST BET:

Race 2 no.4 RANIER

KILLER'S BEST EACH WAY: 
Race 3 no.1 CRACK ME UP

KILLER'S BEST ROUGHIE: 
Race 6 no.2 KEEN ARRAY

KILLER'S WHALE OF THE BAY
Race 8 no.5 AMPHITRITE

 

Snowy's Best Bets

SNOWY'S BEST BET: 
Race 7 no.1 AVILIUS

SNOWY'S BEST EACH WAY: 
Race 9 no.3 INVINCIBELLA

SNOWY'S BEST ROUGHIE: 
Race 8 no.6 YULONG METEOR

SNOWY'S WHALE OF THE BAY
Race 8 no.5 AMPHITRITE


 
Race 1

6 (SUN CITY) – 7 (THE ASTROLOGIST) – 2 (FANAAR) – 8 (UNITE AND CONQUER)

KILLER TIPS: Going with the McEvoy pair in SUN CITY and THE ASTROLOGIST here. Both trialled well and trainer is king of the kids. FANAAR and UNITE AND CONQUER both come out of same/similar trials to other pair. All first starters, all up the straight, all too hard.

SUGGESTED BET: Not a betting race for mine.

 
Race 2

4 (RANIER) – 3 (WILD PLANET) – 5 (YULONG JANUARY) – 9 (PEACEFUL)

KILLER TIPS: Let’s go hard or go home. RANIER best of the day. Go back to his first start at Flem, brilliant. Second up took on a class rise, brilliant. Last time sat last, swooped with 61kg and was motoring after the winner Nakeeta Jane who was then photo-ed into 3rd behind Oohood and Fiesta in a Group 1, BRILLIANT! Hug Bowman, gate 3, sits midfield off a good speed, just wins. WILD PLANET will be on speed, dominated a maiden in front last time. YULONG JANUARY the only other potential winner. Brilliant last start, albeit Swan Hill, just fancy he might have to do some work from wide gate.

SUGGESTED BET: Big straight out bet on RANIER! Set up the day.

 
Race 3

1 (CRACK ME UP) – 10 (SHOKORA) – 3 (I’M WESLEY) – 4 (PLEIN CIEL)

KILLER TIPS: Another one I am keen on here in CRACK ME UP. Has an awesome top 2 strike and $700k in the bank. Deserves his 60kg, but carries weight well. First up was serviceable for further. 1400m stats don’t read well, but ignore because he is a G3 winner over 1300m and ran 4th in a George Ryder beaten 4 lengths to a mare name Winx. SHOKORA is huge odds here! $20+. Will storm home with the 54kg and is G2 placed over same course and distance. I’M WESLEY over 1400m might be a stretch. PLEIN CIEL needs to turn last start around quickly. Weiry can do that with horses, but I feel he needs a mile or further.

SUGGESTED BET: Big each way bet, 1 x 2 on CRACK ME UP at $6.00 or better.

 
Race 4

5 (SAVOIE) – 2 (EXTRA BRUT) – 9 (A FIGHTING FURY) – 12 (SAVVY OAK)

KILLER TIPS: How can you tip against SAVOIE, he was brilliant last time. Draws out, but did last time, and will just slide across at a comfortable tempo. Explosive turn of foot, and looks close to a good thing. EXTRA BRUT draws 19, that hurts, as he did have run of the race last time, but his last 100m was very impressive. Coming out of the same race is A FIGHTING FURY (sat last, slow pace) and SAVVY OAK (was ridden closer, stuck on ok). The latter will be ridden back from the gate which will be the way to ride him. I feel that is the form race, along with the Derby Trial.

SUGGESTED BET: SAVOIE to win and I can see A FIGHTING FURY and SAVVY OAK running into placings at big odds.
 

Race 5

2 (WINX) – 4 (KINGS WILL DREAM) – 10 (YOUNGSTAR) – 1 (GRUNT)

KILLER TIPS: WINX wins, what a super star. Amazing it is only her second ever run at Australia’s best track. What a way to treat the members in the new Grandstand, give us a wave Hughie! KINGS WILL DREAM will run second and YOUNGSTAR the one at odds. GRUNT, yeah maybe runs well, probably leading brought him unstuck last time, but from the gate, might go forward again, tough one.

SUGGESTED BET: Hard to formulate a way to win on the punt here. Very confident KINGS WILL DREAM will run second. Last time I had an Exacta, I was 15
 

Race 6

9 (BONS AWAY) – 2 (KEEN ARRAY) – 4 (DREAMFORCE) – 10 (EDUARDO)

KILLER TIPS: BONS AWAY can mix his form, but his first up run cannot be ignored. Flew from last with 58.5kg for a close up 4th. Race won’t be the strongest form race, but first two home weren’t slouches. 1200m record superb. He might be the overs? KEEN ARRAY won race last year, has trialled well, goes good first up, lots of ticks but is $17.00. Big odds! DREAMFORCE 8 from 18, great stats and really like EDUARDO as a horse. He might be a prep away and is in bad at the weights, but the trainer dares to dream and he doesn’t know how to chuck in the towel easily. Even race!

SUGGESTED BET: Definitely backing both BONS AWAY and KEEN ARRAY each way. Same size bets so if the best roughie wins, we clean up!
 

Race 7

1 (AVILIUS) – 2 (OUR VENICE BEACH) – 7 (MIDTERM) – 6 (RISING RED)

KILLER TIPS: It will take a brave man to tip against AVILIUS unless you haven’t watched his three Aussie runs. Devastating last time! Creeping up in weight, but will be locked away on the fence from the draw, and off to sleep. He will storm over the top. Like the tope weight, OUR VENICE BEACH brings Cracksman form into this race. First two Aussie runs were improvements for further, in the mix. MIDTERM was an eye catcher in the Metrop. Draws to box seat, another handy Galileo for Team Williams. RISING RED ultra-consistent of the “Locals”.

SUGGESTED BET: Have to be backing AVILIUS, but not at too short of a price. $2.25 currently, I feel he will get out to $2.50 or better. Have something on MIDTERM at odds to save.
 

Race 8

2 (KRONE) – 4 (ARISTIA) – 15 (VERRY ELLEEGANT) – 5 (AMPHITRITE)

KILLER TIPS: Like this race! Weiry vs the Rest! Gone with Weiry’s KRONE on top. Awesome first up and luckless last time but was still closing on the line when she had no right to. Contested very good races as a 2YO, just needs a softer run. ARISTIA, who is still a maiden, is underrated. Closed like a coming winner last time. Drawn out again, so might have same challenge. Crying out for the mile! VERRY ELLEEGANT, can’t these Kiwi’s spell!?!? This filly is the unknown factor. Won a couple of average races at home, but the experts say very impressively! Weiry doesn’t throw the in the deep end unless they can swim. AMPHITRITE false favourite but wouldn’t shock.

SUGGESTED BET: Not a big betting race for mine, but could back KRONE each way with a saver each way on ARISTIA. VERRY ELLEEGANT and AMPHITRITE are both under the odds.

 
Race 9

9 (SAVATIANO) – 3 (INVINCIBELLA) – 5 (BELLA MARTINI) – 6 (TULIP)

KILLER TIPS: Awesome race to finish. Love these mares 1400m races. Let me see……is BELLA MARTINI in it…….there she is!! Love her, but barrier Gods have dished her another shocker. SAVATIANO is a gun. McEvoy has a good affinity with her, draws a much better barrier and won’t know himself with a nice run in transit. Gets weight off INVINCIBELLA and BELLA MARTINI and that will be the edge. TULIP never far away and was brilliant last time.

SUGGESTED BET: SAVATIANO to win!



The Replay Room 
Race 7 no.7 MIDTERM - Huge run last start in the Metropolitan. Was snagged back from the barrier and ridden up inside horses to find a spot. It didn't work as coming to the home turn was shuffled back to near last and was then set the task and weaving a passage through the field. Did an awesome job to finish 5th, reeling off super sectionals. 



Happy Punting - Sam "Killer" Kilkenny
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